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WNA Nuclear Century Outlook Data

The WNA’s Nuclear Century Outlook long-term projection gauged the prospects for the worldwide growth of nuclear power in the 21st Century.

The table below show the full set of data used.

 

 

 

Current Nuclear Programmes 2008     2030 Low 2030 High 2060 Low 2060 High 2100 Low 2100 High
  Capacity in GWe
Argentina 1 4 11 5 30 10 90
Armenia 0 1 0 1 1 2 4
Belarus 0 2 5 5 8 5 10
Belgium 6 6 8 8 10 8 22
Brazil 2 10 30 40 100 70 330
Bulgaria 2 4 7 5 7 5 7
Canada 13 20 30 25 40 30 85
China 9 50 200 150 750 500 2800
Czech Republic 3 5 7 5 12 5 15
Finland 3 5 7 8 10 8 11
France 63 65 75 80 110 80 130
Germany 20 20 50 40 80 80 175
Hungary 2 4 5 4 8 5 12
India 4 20 70 60 500 200 2750
Iran 0 3 10 5 30 10 140
Japan 48 55 70 80 140 80 200
Lithuania/ Latvia/ Estonia 1 4 6 5 8 5 8
Mexico 1 2 20 3 75 20 225
Netherlands 1 1 5 7 20 10 35
Pakistan 0 10 20 20 65 30 180
Romania 1 4 10 5 20 10 25
Russia 22 45 80 75 180 100 200
Slovakia 2 3 4 4 5 5 7
Slovenia 1 1 1 1 2 1 2
South Africa 2 8 25 30 50 30 55
South Korea (& North Korea) 18 25 50 45 80 70 145
Spain 7 8 20 20 50 25 60
Sweden 9 10 15 10 18 10 18
Switzerland 3 4 6 5 10 5 11
Ukraine 13 20 30 20 40 20 45
United Kingdom 11 20 30 30 80 40 140
United States 99 120 180 150 400 250 1200
SUBTOTAL 367 559 1087 951 2939 1729 9137
 
Nations Planning Nuclear 2008     2030 Low 2030 High 2060 Low 2060 High 2100 Low 2100 High
  Capacity in GWe
Egypt 0 3 10 6 40 10 90
Gulf Cooperation Council* 0 12 50 30 80 40 175
Indonesia 0 2 6 3 35 5 175
Kazakhstan 0 0 2 3 5 5 20
Nigeria 0 2 15 10 40 20 120
Poland 0 4 10 12 40 20 50
Turkey 0 5 15 10 50 20 160
Vietnam 0 2 15 4 30 6 120
SUBTOTAL 0 30 123 78 300 126 910
*Gulf Cooperation Council members are Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates
Potential Entrants 2008     2030 Low 2030 High 2060 Low 2060 High 2100 Low 2100 High
   Capacity in GWe
Albania 0 0 2 1 4 2 5
Algeria 0 0 5 2 15 5 40
Australia 0 0 10 15 25 20 60
Austria 0 0 3 2 5 4 7
Bangladesh 0 0 10 5 40 20 90
Chile 0 0 5 5 15 10 38
Croatia 0 0 2 2 5 2 5
Denmark 0 0 2 2 4 2 7
Greece 0 0 2 2 5 2 5
Iraq 0 0 2 5 15 6 60
Ireland 0 0 5 2 5 3 10
Israel 0 0 3 2 5 3 20
Italy 0 7 20 10 40 25 70
Jordan 0 3 7 3 8 5 12
Kenya 0 0 2 2 8 4 24
Malaysia and Singapore 0 0 10 5 15 5 30
Morocco 0 0 5 2 15 5 40
New Zealand 0 0 2 2 5 3 8
Norway 0 0 2 2 5 3 10
Philippines 0 1 10 10 60 20 95
Portugal 0 0 5 5 10 5 14
Serbia 0 0 2 5 8 5 14
Syria 0 0 3 2 7 5 25
Thailand 0 2 10 10 40 15 50
Venezuela 0 0 3 4 25 8 60
Other 0 0 8 4 40 20 200
SUBTOTAL 0 13 140 111 429 207 999
WORLD TOTAL 367 602 1350 1140 3688 2062 11046